Evidence of the Afterlife; I'm Skeptical - Introduction
The Introduction is, ironically, one of the longest chapters of the book (which isn't saying much; the book is only about 200 pages long and no more than 300 words per page). It gives a very summarized overview of what Long considers to be his very strong evidence for the afterlife. Since he goes over these arguments and evidence in much greater detail in the rest of the book, I'll just comment, briefly, on some of the most note-worthy here.
He mentions that at the time the book was published, the data was from "more than 1300 people who had a near-death experience." Long's website now claims it has received over 2000 such testimonials. Yes, ALL of the data used in this "research" was submitted via an electronic form and testimonials from people who simply visited his website and claim to have had a near-death experience. Readers, expect periodic lessons on the scientific method throughout these review posts.
We can comfortably dismiss the entire book on this basis alone. How can Long not see what a spectacular sampling bias this would create? I'll get into this in greater detail later, as he addresses this criticism directly at one point.
Entertainingly, he moves straight from the mention of the volume of testimonials and the method by which he collected them into this interesting claim:
More than 95 percent of respondents feel their NDE was "definitely real," while virtually all of the remaining respondents feel it was "probably real." Not one respondent has said it was "definitely not real."Isn't it obvious why this isn't saying anything? Sampling bias. Everything about the website screams in very emotional language that NDEs are evidence of the afterlife. We would absolutely expect it to attract people who have little doubt that their NDEs has showed them a glimpse of the afterlife. If a faith-healer had a website that stated everywhere that testimonials prove his healing power, and invited people who have been healed by him to submit their testimony via the website (and the website screens out anyone who they believe to be "fake"), we would absolutely expect the vast majority of the testimony to claim that the healing was "real." This wouldn't be evidence for the "healings" at all. It is also deceptively worded. Nobody is debating that there were no NDEs. Of course there were "real" NDEs. What we are skeptical of is the claim that this constitutes any decent evidence of an afterlife.
A considerable portion of his writing is not evidence or argument, it's Long talking about how wonderful NDEs are, how much they change people's lives, what good news the existence of an afterlife is, etc.
The "scientific" principle that Long has used to "prove" the existence of the afterlife through NDEs is: "What is real is consistently seen among many different observations." He frequently states outright that NDEs are incredibly consistent. Again, I'll address this in more detail later, when he makes his full argument that consistent details prove that NDEs show us the afterlife. For now, I'll just say that he's quite wrong about NDEs being very consistent in their detail, even using his own data, gross sampling bias and all.
He specifies that he uses a definition of "near-death" to be "so physically compromised that they would die if their condition did not improve." That language is kind of vague, isn't it? Next, he says that "The NDErs studied were generally unconscious and often apparently clinically dead . . ." Sigh. "Generally" unconscious? "Often apparently" clinically dead? One of his first major arguments is that people experience things during a NDE, even though they shouldn't be able to, medically speaking. Yet he can only say that they're "generally" unconscious?
Here's a hilarious bit; he claims in the book to have nine distinct lines of evidence proving the existence of an afterlife. He says that the convergence of nine lines of evidence builds a much stronger case than only one. Well, yes, Dr. Long, but you haven't shown any of your evidences yet. He even does the math for us:
For example, suppose we had only two lines of NDE evidence. We may not be 100 percent convinced that these two lines of evidence prove an afterlife, but perhaps each line of evidence by itself is 90 percent convincing. Combined, these two lines of evidence by mathematical calculation are 99 percent convincing that the afterlife exists.He even gives an end-note referring us to the back of the book, where he gives us an even more simplified version of the math, reaching the same result. The argument here is that if just two lines of evidence can give us 99 percent certainty of a claim, how convincing are nine lines of evidence? I find this suspicious; Dr. Long hasn't even given us his evidence yet, and he's already given us a suggested percentage rate of how convincing his arguments could be, and then tried to show how (because there's nine of them) they should rationally create virtual certainty! Let's not jump the gun here, Dr. Long. I'll take a look at your actual evidence first. You'll understand if I carefully mentally discard your self-serving 90 percent figure for now, right?
Next; Dr. Long talks about the twelve common attributes of NDEs, and what he's found out about them in his research.
Labels: Evidence of the Afterlife, Flimsy, science, spirituality


